The Set Odds' 4-4-2 System: Post-Weekend Review [Week 3]

Hello all,

Lady Luck was not on our side last weekend with some shock results in the Football League.

Of our Win 5fold picks, Coventry’s 100% record when up in smoke at the Ricoh Arena despite them having more shots on target and possession than Newport County, and Bristol City could only draw 0-0 at home to struggling Millwall.

Plus, the Walsall fan who booked an Isle of Wight hotel “11 miles away” from Fratton Park for his team’s trip to Portsmouth will have no doubt been happy enough to see them draw 1-1, more so than he was when he looked at a map. I, however, needed a Pompey win.

It was always going to be tough in the first six or seven weeks of the season though, and if anyone predicted Huddersfield and West Bromwich Albion would be joint top of the Premier League with two wins apiece and zero goals conceded after two games then please DM me the Lotto numbers.

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On the bright side, our 40/1 outsider tip for Premier League top scorer, Javier Hernandez, netted twice, and our main tip Gabriel Jesus will be in action tonight as Manchester City host Everton.

Despite City being held by Brighton in the Premier League opener for 70 minutes, Manchester United leading the league on goal difference from West Brom and Huddersfield, and Chelsea getting back on track, the Citizens are as low as 5/4 in places to win the Premier League.

They are around 1/3 for Monday night’s clash but that is far too short for me, too. Everton are best priced 11/1 to win which looks absolutely huge considering how much talent they have in their team. And it’s 5/1 for the draw.

I do expect City to win though but the Toffees defence is yet to have been breached in four League and Europa League games this season so it could be a tighter affair than people think. OK, they haven’t come up against anyone with City’s quality so far.

One market which stands out for this game is Draw at half-time, City win at full-time which is 17/5 with Bet Victor (bet HERE).

One player who loves scoring against City is former Manchester United star Wayne Rooney. He looks a massive price at 12/1 to net first (Bet365 – bet HERE). An each-way bet on that gives you half the stake on 12s for FGS and half on 4/1 for him to score anytime. Worth a nibble.

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Sergio Aguero and Jesus are understandably the favourites to net first but at around 3/1 or 10/3 I don’t fancy them, especially when City have an abundance of talented players perfectly capable of scoring goals.

Talking goals, from a personal point of view it was a return to winning ways for Aston Villa and done so thanks to a youngster we have up front called Keinan Davis who played Norwich City’s defenders off the park.

He did everything but score during the game and it’s refreshing to see someone do well up top we haven’t had to fork out £15 million for.

We entertain Wigan in the League Cup on Tuesday night and I fancy us to do the business but we’re just too unpredictable to back.

As always for the League Cup I like to issue caution in terms of betting on it. It’s more unpredictable than the Football League.

But one market I like to back in the competition is Both Teams to Score as it can often be a goal fest.

League One Doncaster and Championship Hull City have been involved in 25 goals between them over their seven games, and they meet on Tuesday night so that looks nailed on for BTTS.

Elsewhere, I fancy in-form Ipswich to get at least one at Crystal Palace and hopefully the Eagles will play a strong team because they are in need of a win, while Norwich look perfectly capable of scoring and conceding against a Charlton team who hit Northampton for four on Saturday.

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Sheffield United love a League Cup run and they beat Walsall 3-2 in the last round but entertain a Leicester team who have hit five goals in two Premier League games so far. Whatever team the Foxes put out you’d fancy their fringe players to go for it.

In the first round my Lucas Joao bet would’ve been popular as several teams won with both scoring, so we’re going to have a little dabble on that this week, too.

There was a great stat a few weeks ago that a number of teams who lost their League Cup games went on to win their League games the following week so we will keep an eye on the losers this week.

As always, keep checking the TheSetOdds Twitter account for any more tips which might take my fancy throughout the week.

Oh, and if your team progresses to the League Cup, aka Carabao Cup, 3rd round you might want to set your alarms for the draw – it’s on at 4.15am UK time on Thursday, August 24th, because it’s in Beijing, China! Sleep well!