I hope everyone is well. What can I say about last weekend? Gambling at long odds always holds a much bigger risk than backing odds-on events for obvious reasons so I try not to be too gutted when I miss out on big wins.
But last weekend was really tough to take! Of the 10 tips I put up in The 4-4-2 Betting System, seven lost by just two goals or less.
Four of these, the Win 5fold at 13/2, the 10/1 Draw Double, the 16/1 Over 2.5 Goals Acca, and the Under 2.5 Goals 6fold at 29/1 lost by one solitary goal. ONE.
The 10/1 Draw Double and the 29/1 Under 2.5 Goals 6fold were both ruined when Richardilson grabbed a last-minute winner for Watford at Swansea.
The 11/2 Over 1.5 goals acca, the 17/2 Handicap Treble and the 19/2 Half-Time Draw Treble lost by two goals.
Yesterday was insanely close to being a good day.
— Matthew Sheppard (@Matthew8730) September 24, 2017
QPR cost us the 13/2 Win 5fold, the one I’ve been most confident about since starting The 4-4-2 System at the beginning of the season, by drawing 0-0 at home to Burton.
Charlton and Bury cost us the 16/1 Over 2.5 Goals Acca by only drawing 1-1. One more goal for either side would’ve landed the bet.
I felt really confident about all 10 selections last weekend. It was close but just not close enough, sadly.
While it’s no financial consolation, it’s better to nearly be spot on than miles off I guess. Hopefully, this is the bad luck out of the way and a winning run is on the cards.
We’re at the stage of the season now where we can look at who might be set to spend more of their time nearer the top or bottom of their respective leagues.
The likes of Man City, Man United and Chelsea – who shouldn’t be forgotten about amid the Manchester domination – have all made pulsating Premier League starts and it looks set to be a brilliant title race.
At the other end, Palace already look doomed after six defeats from six with two really tricky games to come against United and Chelsea.
In the Championship, Leeds, Wolves and Cardiff all look good, as do my ante-post tips Middlesbrough, even if they’ve been easing themselves back into the division.
Shrewsbury are surprise leaders in League One but and while my pre-season picks Blackburn have made a slow start, they managed a 1-1 draw away at the table-toppers last weekend which will give them confidence going forwards.
Notts County and Exeter have an impressive 22 points from a possible 29 at the top of League Two, but my tips Luton are breathing down their necks in third with plenty of time to play catch up.
This week marks the return of the Champions League for the second gameweek, and there are full Championship, League One and League Two fixture lists so there will of course be tips on Tuesday.
I’ll put out a bonus blog so keep your eyes peeled!
Tonight, Arsenal entertain West Brom in a game they really should win. Arsene Wenger doesn’t always get his own way at Tony Pulis’ gaff, but at home he loves to play against the Welsh Special One’s teams in the Premier League, beating him nine times.
I fancy Pulis’ Baggies to try to put up a bit of resistance so a Draw at Half-Time/ Arsenal Win at Full-Time bet appeals at 10/3.
The Gunners should fire a few in so I also like the look of 8/1 for Arsenal over 1.5 goals and over 3.5 cards for West Brom.
Arsenal v West Brom betting tips
Draw at Half-Time, Arsenal at Full-Time
1pt at 10/3 (Bet Victor – bet HERE)
Arsenal Over 1.5 Goals and West Brom Over 3.5 Cards
0.5pts at 8/1 (Betway – bet HERE)
The Set Odds’ Betting System total profit/loss 2017/18 = -63.25pts
Good luck and follow The Set Odds for more tips!