Hi all,
The transfer window has finally slammed shut, Philippe Coutinho and Alexis Sanchez have gone nowhere, and boring England are off our TV screens for another month so we can concentrate on who beats who in the Premier and Football League.
The 3pm Prem fixtures look tough to call on Saturday and I’ve even got some doubts about Arsenal’s straight forward-looking home match with Bournemouth after their 4-0 bashing at Liverpool and well-documented disastrous transfer window.
I hate backing my own team but I really fancy Aston Villa to do the business against Brentford on Saturday.
We’ve looked much better in our last two games and the Bees have lost both of their away games without scoring, plus suffered an even bigger loss when their main man Jota and captain Harlee Dean moved to Birmingham last week.
Wolves have slipped up in their last two games, picking up just one point, after an impressive start to the season, but they should still have enough to see off Millwall at home.
The Lions have just one point from their two away games this season at Bristol City and Nottingham Forest, where they netted only once.
Charlton have scored 10 goals in their last three games and entertain a Southend team who have conceded eight in their opening two League One games. It all points to a home victory for the Addicks. I find it incredible they are odds-against to win the match!
Leeds tend to be an inconsistent side but should have enough to see off a Burton team who have lost both their away games, conceding six in the process.
The Whites have drawn their home games 0-0 but their confidence should be up after 2-0 away wins at Nottingham Forest and Sheffield Wednesday.
Oxford should be able to dispatch Gillingham but the Gills have started scoring goals, despite still conceding them, so I’m airing on the side of caution with Oxford Draw No Bet to complete the Win 5fold.
Many of us (me included) put Harry Kane in their fantasy football teams despite knowing he doesn’t score in August – zero times in 13 Premier League games in the month – but he does in September.
Spurs may well be glad to get away from Wembley and all the talk of the pitch as they travel to Merseyside to take on Everton on Saturday. The Toffees haven’t tasted victory in their last nine League outings against the north Londoners so I fancy a draw.
Just as Kane doesn’t score in August, Chelsea don’t win in September. In the last four Premier League seasons they’ve lost three and drawn four.
They won’t find it easy at Leicester but I fancy a few goals in the game and think the Blues could nick it with both teams scoring to banish that hoodoo.
Brighton are yet to score in their first three Premier League matches and they entertain a West Brom side who have netted just seven times in their last 12 League games, so it points to a low-scoring one.
I’m expecting Southampton’s game against the new Tinkerman Marco Silva and his ever-changing Watford squad – who have used 21 different players in their first three League games – to be a tight affair, too.
I might even have a few quid on a Hornets away win at a big 9/2 (Betway – bet HERE).
Preston fans have seen their side pick up eight points from five games this season but only seen them score twice and concede once, making them bankers in the Under 2.5 goals market when they take on Barnsley.
Elsewhere, high-flying Shrewsbury and Wigan should play out a close game in League One so I’m plumping for a stalemate in a double with an Everton v Spurs draw.
The big game of the weekend is of course Man City v Liverpool in the early kick-off. I’ve left it off all accas so we will still a stand a chance of riches come 3pm but I’ve found some serious value.
Sky Bet have priced the free-scoring Sadio Mane at an absolutely ludicrous 50/1 (Sky Bet – bet HERE) to net from outside the box in the game. He has been playing for Senegal this week so may be a bit tired, but if he starts then that is certainly worth sticking a bit of loose change on!
Sergio Aguero has scored in his last five home games against Liverpool but his 7/2 FGS odds are far too skinny, and I prefer to back Gabriel Jesus at 9/2 (Sky Bet – bet HERE).
Coutinho could make a comeback but it’s not 100 per cent certain he’ll start and nobody seems to be offering odds on him to score from outside the box after he netted four times in six games against City so, like Barcelona, I’ll be leaving him alone.
The Set Odds’ 4-4-2 Betting System
Leeds, Wolves, Charlton all to win, Aston Villa or Draw, Oxford Draw No bet
2pts at 17/2 (Betway – bet HERE)
Leicester v Chelsea, QPR v Ipswich, Charlton v Southend, Fleetwood v Oldham, Peterborough v Bradford, Yeovil v Cheltenham, Accrington v Carlisle, Newport v Wycombe,
2pts at 13/2 (Sky Bet – bet HERE)
Leeds -1, Wolves -1, Charlton -1
1pt at 26/1 (Bet365 – bet HERE)
Brighton v West Brom, Southampton v Watford, Shrewsbury v Wigan
1pt at 8/1 (Betway – bet HERE)
Everton v Spurs, Shrewsbury v Wigan
1pt at 11/1 (Bet Victor – bet HERE)
QPR v Ipswich, Accrington v Carlisle, Newport v Wycombe, Yeovil v Cheltenham
1pt at 19/2 (Sky Bet – bet HERE)
Arsenal, Villa, Leeds, Wolves, Charlton
0.5pts at 120/1 (William Hill – bet HERE)
Arsenal, Aston Villa or Draw, Leeds, Wolves, Charlton, Fleetwood, Oxford Draw No bet, Rotherham or Draw, Accrington or Draw, Stevenage or Draw
0.5 pts at 57/1 (Betway – bet HERE)
Brighton v West Brom, Southampton v Watford, Preston v Barnsley, Sunderland v Sheffield United, Barnet v Cambridge, Rochdale v Blackburn
0.5 pts at 33/1 (Bet Victor – bet HERE)
Chelsea, Man United, QPR, Mansfield
0.5 pts at 209/1 (Bet365 – bet HERE)
Good luck and follow The Set Odds for more tips!
