Sevilla picked up their first away win since May 2015 as they won at Leganes and followed that with a 1-0 win at home to Atletico, though they couldn’t make it back-to-back away wins against Gijon last time out. Barca, meanwhile, have won their last three but they snuck past Valencia and Granada and were well beaten by Man City as they look vulnerable without Pique and Iniestsa, while Alba is again a doubt.
Sevilla have won all five of their home games this term and their record at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium is now W19-D1-L4 since the start of last term, with two of those defeats coming in their opening two home games last season. When hosting the Big Two, Sevilla are W3-D1-L2 since 2013/14 in games that have tended to produce plenty of goals as both teams netted in all of them while four saw more than three goals.
Barca have already lost at Celta Vigo this season and their record when travelling to teams between 4th and 7th last term was just W1-D1-L2 as they conceded at least twice in the last three of these. They looked extremely vulnerable defensively at the Etihad on Tuesday night and as a result look far too short here at 1.57. Barca have failed to win this fixture in the last two seasons so we’re backing Sevilla to pick up at least a point and with the ultra-aggressive Sampaoli now in charge, this could be a real goal fest and so we’re also backing Over 4.5 Goals.
Recommendations: Sevilla or Draw Double Chance at 2.20
Over 4.5 Goals at 3.3