Watford became the latest victims of Hull’s home resurgence as they suffered a 2-0 loss at the KCOM Stadium. The Hornets’ season is effectively over – they are in no danger of relegation, and are out of contention for the European places – but they have won three on the trot at home, and a victory over Liverpool would be a feather in their cap. The visitors lost 2-1 last time out at home to Crystal Palace, who have been something of a bogey team for them in recent seasons.
The pressure is on for Liverpool, who have played two games more than the three sides directly below them and could thus easily dip out of the top four before the end of the season. Fortunately for them, their record against middle-third teams is strong: they’ve won six of their last seven undefeated games against such sides, and they’ve only lost once on the road to a middle-third team this season. Moreover, Watford have beaten Arsenal and United away and at home respectively, but they’ve lost each of the seven other games they’ve played against sides in the top six, including going down 1-6 at Anfield early in the season. As such, we think Watford will have their work cut out to preserve a run of three straight wins to nil at home.
Liverpool have recorded strong away wins against Stoke and West Brom after a run of five winless away games, and we think they’ll manage the same here, but Watford have not been blanked at home since mid-January. Liverpool and Both to Score looks like a decent shout.
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