Ahead of their World Cup qualifiers on Sunday, Germany host England in a friendly and Gareth Southgate will be hoping he can repeat the result that Roy Hodgson’s side managed in this fixture around a year ago. They came from 2-0 down to win 3-2 and created a great deal of optimism about their chances at the Euros, which of course turned out to be misguided.
Germany have responded impressively since they were knocked out of the Euros by hosts France in the semi-finals as they haven’t conceded in any of their six games since, winning five of these. However, they’ve proven vulnerable in their own backyard since their World Cup triumph as they’ve lost four of their 15 home games since and only won three of the eight of these that were friendlies. Their home friendlies generally produce goals as both teams have scored in eight of the last 10, with seven of these seeing more than three goals.
England generally disappoint when it matters most, at the major tournaments, but they’ve lost only two of their last 16 friendlies and only two of their last 10 away friendlies. As such, despite Harry Kane’s absence, the Germans look too short at 1.75, particularly with the likes of Ozil and Muller, both of whom were instrumental in the World Cup win, struggling for their clubs this term. We’re siding with England on the Double Chance and we’re also backing Over 3.5 Goals given the strong ‘overs’ trend in Germany’s home friendlies.
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