Napoli continued their strong finish to the season as they thumped Torino 5-0 at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino to remain within a point of Roma in 2nd. Fiorentina, meanwhile, won a 3-2 thriller at home to Lazio to move up to 7th, though the final Europa League spot is out of reach for them after a poor run.
Napoli have won eight of their last 11 at the Stadio San Paolo, where they’ve lost just twice since the start of last season. They’re W8-D1-L0 when hosting teams between 6th and 10th in that time, scoring 14 goals in the four of these games that were this term, though they kept only one clean sheet across these games. Indeed, they’ve shut out their opponents in only three of their last 10 on their own turf and so they should give Fiorentina plenty of chances.
Fiorentina have won just six times on their travels this term and each of those victories have come at sides currently 12th or lower. They’ve picked up only one point from their five trips to top-six sides so far but they have scored in six of their eight visits to top-half teams, making the home win and both teams to score of interest here at 2.3 given the defensive vulnerabilities Napoli have shown. Both teams have scored in each of the last three league meetings between these two sides, including a 3-3 thriller last term, making Over 4.5 Goals worth a punt at 2.75.
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