Monaco continue to defy expectations this term as they’re in pole position to win Ligue 1, whilst they won both legs of their quarter-final with Dortmund. Juve were held to a draw at Atalanta on Friday night but they remain well clear at the top of the league and have conceded only two goals in their 10 Champions League games, as even the mighty Barcelona couldn’t break down their resolute defence in their quarter-final clash.
Lyon in the league and PSG in the Coupe de la Ligue are the only sides to have beaten Monaco at the Stade Louis II this term, whilst they’ve beaten Spurs, Man City and Dortmund in their last three at home in this competition. They do remain vulnerable defensively as they’ve kept only one clean sheet in their 10 Champions League games, so they’ll be reliant on the likes of Mbappe and Falcao, who have made significant contributions to Monaco scoring more goals than any other team across Europe this term, to out gun their visitors.
Home teams have lost just three first legs of the last 28 Champions League semi-finals since 2002/03 so Juve look on the short side at 2.4. They’ve picked up only five points from their six trips to top-eight sides in Serie A this term, while they’ve won just two of their six Champions League away knockout ties since 2014/15. We’re siding with Monaco Draw No Bet at 2.1, particularly as Juve’s only win in their last five away in all competitions came against bottom of the league Pescara.
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