Manchester City v West Brom
15:00
With a superior goal difference over Arsenal, a win here will effectively seal Man City’s Champions League qualification. They were somewhat fortunate to beat Leicester at home, with Mahrez slipping while taking a penalty that would have made it 2-2, but it nevertheless means Chelsea are the only side to win at the Etihad this term. However, their record here against top-half-teams is a disappointing W2-D5-L1, though West Brom certainly aren’t playing like an 8th-placed side and if you exclude the top-six then it’s 10 wins from 13 unbeaten matches for City.
Since reaching that 40-point mark, the Baggies have fallen off a cliff, losing seven of their last 10, failing to score in eight of these fixtures. They tend to struggle against the top-teams, not scoring in eight of their 11 meetings with the top-six this term and with four defeats form five winless matches away from the Hawthorns.
City may have had their issues defensively this season but only Spurs, Chelsea and Man Utd have conceded fewer, whilst they’ve had three shut-outs in their last five. West Brom, meanwhile, have failed to score in 10 of their last 15 trips to top-six sides, losing 11 of these, and with Matt Phillips still out, look unlikely to cause the hosts any problems.
Recommendation: Man City Win to Nil at 1.75
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs
