Manchester City v Leicester
12.30 - 13/5/2017 - Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Man City showed what they are capable of under Pep Guardiola by dismantling Palace 5-0 last time out. However, this was just their ninth win in 17 at the Etihad this term, with Arsenal the only top-half club they’ve defeated in this time. The victory was also their second consecutive clean sheet at home, but neither Palace nor Man Utd before them offered much going forward and overall they’ve struggled for shut-outs, with just three in their previous 15.
Leicester have propelled themselves from 18th to ninth in the table and with West Brom above them struggling a top-eight finish certainly looks a possibility, which would represent a respectable defence of their title. They’ve won just twice on the road all term but both have come under the new management, while the only time they’ve failed to net under Shakespeare was in a dour 1-0 loss at Arsenal in the game straight after their exit from the Champions League.
We’re reluctant to back City here given their inconsistencies all season. The Foxes have posed a real threat going forward under Shakespeare, netting at least twice in eight of his 10 games in charge. Pep’s possession style football plays into Leicester’s counter-attacking strengths and Jamie Vardy could well be the benefactor of this. He’s got 10 in his last 15 and is the visitors’ most likely goalscorer and we do fancy them to net at least once here.