Las Palmas v Barcelona
15:00
Las Palmas were up in 11th after 20 games of the season but they’ve lost 11 of their last 16 since then, including a 1-0 defeat at Gijon last time out. As a result, they’ve dropped down to 14th, but relegation isn’t a threat. Barca, meanwhile, made it five wins on the bounce as they eased past Villarreal 4-1 at the Nou Camp to remain level on points with Real, though they have played a game more.
Las Palmas were unbeaten in their first 11 home games but they’ve since lost three of their last seven at the Estadio de Gran Canaria, including a 5-0 defeat against Atletico in their last outing there. However, they were hampered by a red card to Kevin-Prince Boateng in that one and that was their first defeat by more than one goal in their last 26 on their own turf as they were edged out 2-1 by both Barca and Real last term, whilst they achieved a draw hosting Real this season as well.
Barca have won only seven of their last 12 on the road and have also won just one of their last four trips to bottom-half sides, against relegated Granada. As a result, we certainly wouldn’t be in a rush to back them at 1.1, despite Las Palmas’ dip in form. Instead, we’re going to back the hosts to be tough to beat on their own patch once again by siding with them +3 on the handicap at 2.3.
Recommendation: Las Palmas +3 Handicap at 2.3
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs