The bottom two in La Liga face off here and since Osasuna are five points from safety while Granada are four points off Valencia in 17th, defeat here would surely leave the loser with too much to do to stay up. Granada were thumped 5-0 at the Bernabeu on their return from the winter break, while Osasuna came from behind to rescue a point in a 3-3 thriller at home to Valencia.
Granada have won only one of their eight home games this term, drawing against Deportivo and Gijon and losing against Leganes in their three at home to bottom-six teams so far. As such, we’re not particularly keen on backing them at 1.95, particularly as they’ll be without winger Mehdi Carcela-Gonzalez, who’s at the African Cup of Nations. The Moroccan’s their second top scorer this term and they’ve picked up only one point from the three games he’s failed to start this term, and that point came in a game they would have probably expected to win at home to fellow strugglers Gijon.
Osasuna have in fact picked up more points on the road than they have at home this term but they’re suffering something of an injury crisis at the moment, with none of their first choice back four likely to be fit enough to line up. The absentees on both sides make this a tough game to call in terms of the outcome, but with Osasuna’s makeshift defence there should be goals in this one. Osasuna have conceded at least twice in six of their last seven on the road, whilst Granada have kept just one clean sheet in 11 at home. We’re backing Over 2.5 Goals at 2.0.
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