Belgium put eight past Estonia in their last outing to maintain their 100% record in qualification, though this will be one of their tougher tests in what is a fairly soft group overall. Greece are only two points behind the Belgians having won three of four unbeaten games, beating Gibraltar, Cyprus and Estonia while drawing at home to Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Belgium have won 11 of their last 14 home games, only losing once (to Spain) and scoring 45 goals in these (3.1 gpg), though they’ve kept only one clean sheet in their last eight home matches. As a result, 12 of their last 16 home games have seen at least four goals, with both teams netting in six of the last eight. According to our rankings Greece are 42nd in the world and Belgium have won seven of their last eight at home against teams between 22nd and 62nd, though they kept only two clean sheets in these games.
Greece have managed to find the net in six of their last seven, whilst they’ve also won their last four on the road. They’ve lost only one of their last seven trips to teams ranked in the world’s top-25 and so we expect them to be tough to beat, but this Belgium side is full of attacking talent and flair so they should have too much for them, especially with an in-form Lukaku leading the line. We’re backing Belgium to win and both teams to score.
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