Atletico Madrid v Villarreal
15:00
Having stumbled somewhat in the opening parts of the season, Atletico are now in impressive form having won seven of eight unbeaten matches, during which time they’ve conceded only two goals. As a result, they have a solid hold on 3rd as they lead Sevilla by three points, while Villarreal are eight points further back in 5th. Fran Escriba’s side have managed six wins in their last nine, the latest of which was a 2-1 home win over Leganes.
Real and Barca are the only sides to have beaten Atletico at the Vicente Calderon this term as Simeone’s men have conceded only once in their last four there. They’ve won five of seven unbeaten home games against teams between 4th and 8th since the start of last season, conceding just twice across these in games that have generally tended to be tight as four saw fewer than two goals.
Villarreal have won four of their last six on the road and have managed some impressive results at the top teams, drawing 1-1 at Real Madrid and 0-0 at Sevilla. Indeed, that’s generally typical of their away games as eight of their last 11 on the road have seen fewer than two goals. That, together with Atletico’s ‘unders’ trend at home against relevant opposition means that Under 1.5 Goals looks a touch big at 3.2 here and we’re making that our standout selection as we’re reluctant to side with Atleti at a short price against a stubborn Villarreal side, with the draw looking the best option in the match outcome markets at 4.2.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs
