Since losing two of their first three games, Milan have won seven of their last nine, including against the likes of Lazio and Juve as they sit in 3rd ahead of this clash, five points behind Allegri’s men. Inter, on the other hand, have a new manager in Stefano Piolo and though he got off to a winning start at home to promoted Crotone, this will of course be a much tougher test.
Both these sides have managed some impressive results at the San Siro already this term as both have in fact beaten Juve. This fixture has generally been a tight affair in recent years and that’s reflected in the fact that Milan are priced up as narrow favourites at 2.7, while Inter are 2.8. Milan’s 3-0 triumph in this fixture back in January was certainly an exception as prior to that the last seven Milan derbies since 2012/13 all saw fewer than three goals, while five had fewer than two.
Indeed, since three of Milan’s last five at home saw fewer than two goals while Inter have managed just two goals in their last three road matches, we’re backing Under 1.5 Goals. As we expect a low-scoring encounter, the draw will certainly come into play and since three of the last seven Milan derbies have ended all-square, we’re also going to back the stalemate.
Recommendations: Draw at 3.1