With Romelu Lukaku’s excellent season garnering him a PFA Team of the Year nod, Everton look like they’re in imperious form ahead of their visit to West Ham this Saturday. The Toffees are seventh, level on points with Arsenal (albeit having played two more games), and will relish the chance to press their case for European football next season against a West Ham side that has dropped points in eight of its last nine games.
The issue for Everton will be their away form. They’ve been superb in general lately, winning nine of their last 14, but they’ve won only two of their last 14 on the road, and they’re winless on their travels in their last five, dropping points at teams such as Watford, Hull and Middlesbrough since the start of December. However, tough recent games against Man Utd, Spurs and Liverpool will have strengthened their resolve, and given that West Ham have won only one of their last five at home the visitors will fancy their chances. Their narrow win against Swansea ended a run of five at home for West Ham featuring at least three goals, and with six of Everton’s last seven also going over the 2.5 goals line we should see plenty of chances at the London Stadium.
Everton’s habit of drawing away games (they’ve drawn four of their last seven) means we wouldn’t put anyone off backing the stalemate, but the value looks to us to lie in the goals market. Over 3.5 looks like a great bet in this one, given the Toffee’s goalscoring of late and the fact that the Hammers have shipped two in six of their last seven.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs