Despite winning only one of their last five games (a run which included tricky fixtures against Everton and Man Utd either side of their famous win over Arsenal), West Brom remain in eighth by a comfortable seven-point margin, and the Southampton side currently occupying ninth on goal difference alone must know that they cannot afford to drop many more points if they wish to remain in the top half of the table.
Despite West Brom’s recent poor form, it’s worth remembering that they remain a force to be reckoned with at home. They’ve won eight of their last 10 at The Hawthorns, and an out-of-character recent loss to Palace was only the second time this season they’ve dropped points at home to a side in the bottom half of the table. Southampton have experienced a mixed away run of late, going W3-D1-L6 in their last 10 on their travels, but only two of those losses have been by more than one goal. However, losses at struggling teams such as Hull, Palace and Swansea will not give the travelling fans much confidence for a game against a side that has the sixth-best home scoring record in the league.
West Brom’s excellent home record against teams below them suggests that they’ll be able to overturn recent poor form and secure a win over a Saints side that has struggled away from St Mary’s. We’ll side with the Home Win.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs