Watford suffered a heavy defeat at White Hart Lane last weekend, a predictable result given Spurs’s exceptional home form recently, but they remain in the top half of the table by a one-point margin – there are four clubs clustered on 36 points immediately below the Hornets. Fortunately, the Swansea side they face have been struggling recently with four defeats in five, and the two teams below them in the drop zone have a game in hand over them.
Watford have been strong against lower-placed teams at home this season: they’ve gone W2-D4-L0 at Vicarage Road against bottom-seven teams, and over the last two seasons home matches against such opposition have tended to be low-scoring (nine of 13 have gone under 2.5 goals). Having lost only one of their last six at home (four of which went under 2.5 goals), they’ll fancy themselves to beat a Swansea side that has lost five straight away games, failing to score in the two most recent games in this run. They’ve won just two in their last 15 on the road, and with midfielder Jack Cork a doubt it’s hard to see the visitors coming home with much to show for their efforts.
All in all, Watford’s recent home wins against Sunderland and West Brom suggest they’re more than capable of taking on a Swansea side in poor form. It should be a low-scoring game, though: Watford and Under 2.5 is our best bet.
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