Hoffenheim made it four wins from six unbeaten games as they won 3-1 at Hertha Berlin and so they’ve moved up to 3rd, just four points behind Leipzig but 17 off Bayern. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have really hit their stride in recent weeks as they’ve won their last five without conceding, the latest of which was a 6-0 thrashing of Augsburg.
Hoffenheim remain unbeaten at home this term, winning their last four at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena whilst keeping three clean sheets. They’ve managed 2-2 draws against both Leipzig and Dortmund and their home games have generally seen plenty of goals as five of their last eight on their own turf have had more than three.
Bayern have won seven of eight unbeaten away games but they’re just W1-D2-L1 when travelling to top-seven sides, whilst they’ve won just two of their last seven on the road by more than one goal and so we’re looking to take them on at 1.62, despite their excellent form. Since Hoffenheim have drawn at home to both Leipzig and Dortmund whilst Bayern have been held to stalemates at Hertha and Frankfurt, the draw looks the value bet at 4.5.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs