Swansea have consummately failed to kick on after Paul Clement’s promising start to his tenure at the Liberty Stadium: they’ve now gone without a win in their last six, losing five of those, and have failed to score in their last two games. They must now welcome a Stoke side that re-established its credibility with a 3-1 win last weekend, a victory that brought to an end a run of four straight losses and five winless games. The Swans are two points from safety, but have played one more than Middlesbrough, who lie four points back.
Despite poor results in general in recent weeks, Swansea’s home form has been respectable. Their loss to Spurs in early April was the first time they’d lost in five outings at the Liberty Stadium, and in that four-match undefeated run they’d put Southampton, Leicester and Burnley to the sword. Granted, none of these sides has been proficient away from home, but then Stoke have not been good on the road either: they’ve failed to score in five on their travels, four of which they’ve lost. They’ve also won only one of their last four away against bottom-six sides, and that was against a very weak Sunderland side; more generally, their record at bottom-half sides reads W2-D2-L3, a line that includes recent defeats at Leicester and Burnley.
Swansea will be particularly motivated for this clash as it represents a great chance to pick up points at home before they travel to Man Utd and take on Everton at home. With that and Stoke’s ordinary record on the road in mind, we’ll back the home win.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs