After having to come from behind to beat Preston North End in last weekend’s cup tie, Arsenal now travel to face Swansea City in their first league fixture since their 3-3 draw with Bournemouth. The Swans lost to Hull in the FA Cup last weekend in their first match under Paul Clement, but they successfully overcame Crystal Palace last time out in the league to keep themselves off the bottom of the pile. They are in dire need of an unlikely home win to maintain hopes of Premiership survival.
Swansea’s home record against top-six teams is poor over the last two seasons. The last time they beat such a team was early last season, when they beat Man Utd 2-1. Since then they’ve gone W0-D2-L5, and while they have got on the scoresheet in four of the five most recent games in that stretch, their 0-5 home loss to Spurs is the only time they’ve failed to score against a side currently in the top six at all venues this season. Arsenal should win this, as they’re undefeated against bottom-six sides at all venues this season (the two draws they’ve recorded in the seven games they’ve played against such opposition have been goalless).
Given that Arsenal should take this one, we turn to the manner of victory. Since Arsenal have conceded in all but one of their seven wins against bottom-six sides this season, we’re backing Paul Clement’s men to bag a goal – Arsenal to Win and Both to Score seems like value at 2.9.