Three straight defeats and just one win in six have seen Stoke sink from ninth to 12th, where they sit just three points clear of West Ham in 15th, and they now face the unwelcome prospect of a visit from a Liverpool side undefeated in their last five. While the Reds will have been frustrated to drop points late in the game against Bournemouth midweek, they earned a point to extend the gap between themselves and Man City after City lost at Stamford Bridge, meaning they now hold third place by a two-point margin (although City have a game in hand).
Stoke will be eyeing Liverpool’s defensive record with excitement ahead of this one. Liverpool have the worst defensive record of any top-six team by a distance, and having failed to keep a clean sheet for almost two months they will struggle to keep out a Stoke side that has picked up points in eight of its last nine home games. This is especially true given that Liverpool have failed to win in five on the road and last kept a clean sheet away in their game against Everton in mid-December. Furthermore, given that the visitors will be missing Sadio Mane and Adam Lallana and that they’ve lost each of the five games the former has missed while winning just twice in the six games for which the latter was absent, Stoke will feel they stand an excellent chance here.
Liverpool are only just odds-on to take this one, and we feel Stoke have been overpriced at 4.2 as a result of their recent poor form. Since Liverpool have been weak on their travels but the hosts have drawn four of their last eight at home, we’ll back them on the Draw No Bet.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs