Real Madrid have bounced back from their defeat in the Clasico in impressive fashion, winning their last three whilst scoring 12 goals to remain level on points with the Catalans but with their game in hand. Sevilla have stumbled in the last couple of weeks as they were beaten 4-2 at Malaga and had to settle for a draw at home to Sociedad in their last game, though any points from their last two games would secure 4th.
Real’s home record against top-five sides this term is somewhat underwhelming as they’ve gone W0-D2-L1 against such opposition, failing to keep any clean sheets across these. Indeed, they’ve shut out their opponents in only one of their last six at the Bernabeu and so at first look they’d probably seem a bit short at 1.18, but much of that is down to Sevilla’s poor away record.
Sampaoli’s men have picked up only one point from their last four on the road and have lost whilst conceding three goals in their last three trips to top-six sides since they managed a draw at Villarreal in their opening away game of the season. Indeed, Sevilla have shipped at least three goals in four of their last five league trips to the Bernabeu, including in a 4-0 defeat last term, and so we’re backing Los Blancos to cover the -2 handicap here.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs