Manchester Utd v West Brom
15:00 - 1/4/2017 - Old Trafford
As has been the case so often for Man Utd this season, broadly good results in recent weeks have masked a failure to produce hugely convincing displays. A narrow win over Rostov stopped a three-match winless streak across all competitions, and they followed this with a 3-1 win at Boro, but they are just two points clear of Everton in seventh and must improve if they want to push for the top four. West Brom have had the international break to recover from the exertions that brought them a 3-1 win against Arsenal, but it would be a big surprise to see them produce a similar display here.
Utd haven’t lost at home since their second league fixture at Old Trafford against Man City. Since then they’ve gone W5-D7-L0, which suggests at the very least it’s a tough place to visit – nine of those 12 games have gone under 2.5 goals, and with main goalscorer Ibrahimovic still missing for the Red Devils it would be a surprise to see many goals flying in. West Brom have gone W1-D1-L8 against teams above them in the table this season, losing all five road games in that run and scoring just once, but they can take heart from the fact that Man Utd have gone W1-D6-L0 against sides between sixth and 13th at home, going into the break level in five of these seven games.
All this suggests that we’re likely to see an uneventful clash on Saturday afternoon, and we think that Man United will struggle to break through in the absence of Ibrahimovic. Under 2.5 looks safe at 1.95, but for a longer shot we think a goalless draw could well be on the cards.