After seeing Chelsea suffer a shock loss to Crystal Palace at the weekend, Man City travelled south midweek with hopes of trimming the Blues’ lead further, but they were on the receiving end of an Eden Hazard brace and must now prepare for a visit from a Hull side elated after a 4-2 home win over Swansea. Hull have edged out of the relegation places for now, but with seven games left in the season a real dogfight could emerge between them, Swansea and Crystal Palace (who have a game in hand), who are all hovering around the drop zone.
Hull’s home record under Silva is excellent – they’ve won seven of the eight fixtures at the KCOM Stadium in all competitions since he arrived, and shown they have genuine top-flight ability with wins over United and Liverpool – but their away form this season has been dreadful. They’ve gone W1-D2-L12 on the road this term, failing to score in 10 of 13 winless matches recently, of which 12 were defeats. The Citizens have won all but one of their 13 matches against teams 13th in the table or below, but with only three of those victories coming by a margin of more than two goals (of which only one was against a bottom-five side) we think they won’t run amok here.
Hull seem to be good at avoiding heavy defeats against top sides under Silva: they haven’t conceded more than twice during his tenure against top-six sides across all competitions. As such, we’ll back them on the +2 handicap.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs
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