Hull’s win at home against a resurgent Swansea side was not enough to propel them through their game at Goodison Park, which they lost 4-0 to leave them in 18th, three points behind Swansea in 17th. They will welcome the visit of a struggling West Ham side, though: the Hammers are winless in five and have lost each of their last three, and while they’ve not been beaten by more than one goal since their 4-0 defeat by Man City they’ll surely be low on confidence for their trip to Humberside.
The standout feature of this game is that both teams have very weak defensive records: Hull (58) and West Ham (52) have conceded the second- and fourth-most goals in the division respectively, but West Ham do have the advantage of scoring the fourth-most away goals in the Premier League. This is part of why they’ve lost only twice in their last eight on the road, but more arresting than that is the fact that eight of their last nine games have featured at least three goals, and five of their last seven away from home have seen at least four scored. Hull haven’t lost any of their last six against middle-third sides at the KCOM Stadium, but four draws in that run will not fill them with confidence in terms of taking the three points they so dearly need.
Given how many goals West Ham’s games have seen and that five of Hull’s last seven at home have seen three or more strikes, over 2.5 looks to be the way to go.
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