Despite their improved record under Marco Silva, Hull remain in a precarious position as the season nears its end: following their defeat at the hands of Stoke, they’re now just two points clear of the relegation zone. This week they face a Watford side that benefited from a defensive error at the Liberty Stadium to win 1-0, but their season is plodding to a tame end. They lie 10th with little to play for: a win could see them rise to ninth, but they are a solid 12 points clear of the drop zone.
Despite their lowly league position, Hull have been excellent at home recently. They’ve won five of seven unbeaten games stretching back to the end of December, beating Liverpool and drawing with Everton in that time (as well as beating Man Utd at the KCOM Stadium in the League Cup during that run), and the fact that they’ve kept only one clean sheet in that run seems not to be an issue for the Tigers. As such, it’s not a surprise to see them carded as favourites, especially given that Watford have lost and failed to score in their last three away. That said, two of these were against Man United and Spurs, who have been exceptional at home this season, and four points from three away games prior to that (including a famous win at Arsenal) suggests that Watford have the potential to test Hull.
Despite Watford’s record of three wins from four, we’re hesitant to back them when they’ve shipped so many goals on their travels. Instead, we’ll side with Both Teams to Score.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs