A cup loss to non-league Lincoln City left Burnley embarrassed this weekend, and they now face a tricky trip to the KCOM Stadium. Hull have improved substantially under Marco Silva, and have now recorded four consecutive home wins in all competitions– they’ve only lost to Man City at home since November, so this will be a big test for Sean Dyche’s men.
Hull’s home record against middle-third sides this season is good as they’re WDDDW against such teams, with four of those five games seeing more than two goals. They have not kept a clean sheet at home against a middle-third team all season, which will give confidence to a Burnley side that has struggled away all season: they’ve scored just five in their 11 away games so far, and they’ve only scored two of those against bottom-half teams en route to six straight losses against such opposition. However, Burnley haven’t lost by more than one on the road since early December and Hull are missing mercurial attacker Abel Hernandez, so it’s unlikely to be a thumping win even if Hull do claim the three points.
Burnley’s torrid away form suggests that Hull have a good chance here, but Hull’s lack of clean sheets means we think Burnley should get on the scoresheet too. This looks a tough one to call in terms of the match outcome, but we do think Both Teams to Score has merit.
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