Everton were denied at the last by Man United at Old Trafford as Zlatan Ibrahimovic salvaged a draw for the hosts, a result that prevented Everton from rising above United in the table. The Toffees have been excellent recently, losing only to Spurs and Liverpool in their last 14 games, but they face the prospect of a visit from a fresh-spirited Leicester side, who have won every game since Craig Shakespeare took the helm. The Foxes are now a more comfortable distance from the relegation zone, but may have one eye on their huge Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid next week.
Everton’s record at Goodison Park has been particularly strong. They’ve conceded only 10 goals at home over the whole campaign, the second-best record in the league, and have lost only once there (in the Merseyside derby). Six straight wins, five of which were to nil and all of which saw them cover the -1 handicap, will have put them in an excellent frame of mind for this encounter. Furthermore, a habit of getting ahead before the break and keeping that lead in each of their last five matches at home suggests they’ll look to press their advantage early and hang onto it. Despite the improvement under Craig Shakespeare, Leicester have failed to score in five of their last seven away, losing four times in that run; we think they’ll run into trouble against a team playing so well on home turf.
Leicester are likely to save themselves for their huge midweek game, and we think they’ll suffer here as a result. The Everton/Everton half time/full time result is tempting at 2.6, but at a bigger price we’ll side with Everton -1 at almost 2/1.
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