Burnley finally broke their duck on the road with victory at Palace all but confirming their status in the Premier League for next season. West Brom meanwhile, have been flying-high up in 8th for much of the season but a run of four straight defeats has left them with some work to do to secure a top-half finish with the chasing pack closing in.
As has been well documented, Burnley have excelled at home this season, picking up 32 points so far, a total only bettered by top-seven teams. They’ve won just one of their last four at Turf Moor – against Stoke – but the other three were versus top-six opposition. Excluding the top-six then the Clarets’ home record reads a sensational W9-D1-L1 with the defeat occurring on the opening day of the season and four of the last five victories coming to nil.
The Baggies are flagging with their only victory in their last eight at home to Arsenal which is also the only time they’ve scored in this sequence. Tony Pulis has done a commendable job this term but as is often the case once his teams reach 40 points, which is considered the tally needed to guarantee safety, they tend to falter, winning just six of 43 such matches in the Premier League. We’ll back Burnley to continue their impressive home form and given the Albion’s struggles in front of goal, due in part to injuries to Phillips and Robson-Kanu, we’ll back a home win to nil.
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