Burnley could only grind out a 0-0 stalemate against Sunderland last time out, but they will be looking forward to a return to Turf Moor this weekend, which has been a fortress for them this season. They will, however, face the somewhat unwelcome visit of a talented Spurs side, who proved they could still get the job done without the injured Harry Kane when they beat Southampton prior to the international break.
It's hard to overstate how much better Burnley have been at home than they have been away. They’ve lost only twice in their last 13 at Turf Moor, and have the fifth-best home defensive record in the league, as well as having a better scoring record at home than Man Utd. However, they’ll be aware that their record this season against top-half sides has gone downhill: they’ve lost five of six winless games against such sides, despite being level at the half in each of these. Spurs are undefeated against middle-third sides this term, but the fact that they’ve only won twice in their last 10 on their travels suggests that they will find Burnley a tough nut to crack.
Spurs could only produce draws at Bournemouth and West Brom and a nervy victory over Boro in away games Kane has missed this season, so this represents a real test for them. We think they’ll struggle to get going, so the Half Time Draw looks attractive based on their away record without their talisman and Burnley’s home record against good sides.
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