Man Utd’s win over Chelsea last weekend brought Tottenham back into the title race, and they are six points behind Liverpool (who are third) with two games in hand. They failed to thrive midweek against Anderlecht, however, relying on a Marcus Rashford winner in extra time to secure their Europa League progression. Marcus Rojo and Zlatan Ibrahimovic went off injured during Thursday’s clash, so the Red Devils will be eyeing their upcoming game against Burnley with some apprehension.
Turf Moor is a notoriously difficult place to visit, and Burnley’s record there this season is testament to that. They’ve got the highest points total at home of any club outside the top seven (their tally at home is in fact better than both Manchester clubs), and they’ve not been down at half time in any of their five encounters at Turf Moor against current top-six sides, going in level in four of these. That said, they’ve won only one of these encounters, beating Liverpool early in the season, and they’re up against a United side that has gone undefeated in its last four at middle-third teams. The visitors are undefeated in nine on their travels, winning seven of those, so we think they’ll come away with three points here.
Six of Burnley’s last seven at home have gone under 2.5 and they’ve gone in level in each of these, so we wouldn’t put anyone off backing Unders at 1.7. At a bigger price, however, we’ve got our eye on Man Utd’s excellent recent away record – Draw/United Half Time/Full Time looks like great value at 4.33.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs