Bournemouth managed to snatch an 87th-minute equaliser at Anfield midweek to extend their unbeaten run to five, and they now seem much more secure than they did as recently as the end of February, when they’d not won in seven league games and looked like potential relegation candidates. This weekend they host Chelsea, who leant on Eden Hazard in their 2-1 win over Man City on Wednesday to leave themselves seven points clear with eight games to go.
Despite a rogue loss to Crystal Palace at home last weekend, Chelsea still look like the champions-in-waiting, albeit with more defensive frailties than they have shown previously: they’ve conceded in eight straight games, and have won by more than one goal on only one occasion since their win over Arsenal in early February. Fortunately, they are coming up against a side that ranks 15th in the league for goals scored against them at home, but with Bournemouth recording a creditable W1-D2-L2 record at home against top-six sides we don’t think the Blues will have it all their own way.
Chelsea have dropped points in only three games against bottom-half sides this term, so we expect them to come away from the Vitality Stadium with three points, especially given that their campaign has been given new urgency following their loss to Palace. Given that they’ve conceded in each of the last four such games, however, we think that Chelsea and Both to Score is where the value lies.
Betting intelligence provided by Football Form Labs