Bournemouth have played Arsenal three times since coming into the Premier League and three times they’ve been beaten by two clear goals. Eddie Howe’s side had a confidence boosting win at Swansea a few days ago but they’ve not won consecutive league games since March and could struggle here against a Gunners side that know they simply must keep winning to stay in the title race.
Arsenal threw away leads in their last two away games, at Everton and Man City, but since the start of last season they’ve won six of 11 trips to middle-third teams. That suggests their current price is about right but they averaged almost two goals per game in those matches as five of their six wins came by a margin of more than one. They still tend to concede more often than not though and eight of those 11 matches had at least three goals.
Bournemouth lost seven of 10 home matches against the top half last season and six of those defeats were by more than one goal, while six also came after they trailed at half-time, and seven had at least three goals in total. With Jack Wilshere unavailable against his parent club Arsenal look too strong but the Cherries are likely to still look to attack and the Gunners could punish them on the break and end up winning handily.